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Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Topalov gets the white pieces in game one

According to the FIDE Website, (specifically: ) "In the drawing of lots , Veselin Topalov picked the box which carried White pieces. This means that he will have White pieces in the first game which is scheduled for Saturday, 24th April. So what will he play: 1.e4, 1.d4, or 1.Nf3? According to my database of all Topalov games, Topalov favors playing 1.e4 by a small margin over the opening move 1.d4. In the 945 games in which Topalov plays white, in 458 he plays 1.e4 and scores a performance elo of 2767. In games in which he opens with 1.d4 (326 in total), he scores a performance elo of 2746. In the 105 games in which he opens with the move 1.Nf3 his performance rating is 2742. In the 53 games he opens the game with the move 1.c4 his performance rating is 2706, in the 2 games he began the game with the move 1.g3 he has a performance rating of 2944.

Looking at Anand's record against various openings by white. In games where his opponent begins the game 1.d4 Anand most frequently begins the game by playing the move 1....Nf6 (332 games) and has an performance elo of 2701 in these games. If he plays 1...d5 (208 games)  then his performance elo is 2702. Anand has also responded with these moves in his chess career against the opening white move of 1.e4 (1...d6 -13 games performance elo of 2591, 1...f5, 3 games performance elo of 2413) and 1...e6 (1 game performance rating of 2735).

In games where Anand's opponent has begun the game by playing the move 1.e4 Anand's most favorite response is to play 1...c5 (the Sicilian Defense, (255 games, performance elo of 2708). His second favorite defense against 1.e4 is 1...e5 (197 games, performance rating of 2717), his third favorite defense agaisnt 1.e4 is 1...c6 (The Caro-Kann Defense, 68 games, performance rating of 2706), and his fourth favorite defense against 1.e4 is 1...e6 (the French Defense, 24 games, performance rating of 2670). When an opponent of Anand's begins the game with the move 1.Nf3, Anand has favored the move 1...Nf6 and has a performance elo of 2682). And , if an opponent begins the game with the move 1.c4 Anand favors playing the response 1...c5 (35 games, performance rating of 2712).


Samanvithachessacademy said...

Just want to know what u want to establish with this statistics? We have not gone so deep into this analysis to know whether it is right or wrong. We do not deny its credentials either. Anand has improved over years and has a huge experience in match games. His match against Garry in 1995 has given him enough experience. We admire Topalov's style of play. We really like his game. But in this match, we are sure he will be over excited and that will land him lots of trouble. If he happens to lose a game initially then Anand will be the champion. btw the design of your blog is good. All the best

Wayne said...

I am not trying to establish any statement on the basis of these statistics. I am just showing those of you who have visited by blog, what opening moves each player has really played in all of his games in his career, and the tendencies he has shown when an opponent has begun the game with a certain opening move wit white or black.
I have no doubt that the psychological state of each player is going to play a big role in determining who wins this match. I am not trying to deny that by posting threse statistics.Rather, I am showing which openings they have each played, for interest sake and also to help those of you who want to do some research concerning these openings prior to the beginning of the match. As you know in the Topalov-Kramnik WC match the two players played so many games in the Slav and Semi-slav openings. These statistics were shown to give you an opportunity to see which openings the two players might use in this WC match, and to promote discussion on my blog. Apparently, with your response I have already accomplished a part of my latter goal. Thank you for your input and I hope you enjoy the match!

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Thoughts worth thinking about

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Milan Kundera, The Unbearable Lightness of Being

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Ego's trick is to make us lose sight of our interdependence. That kind of ego-thought gives us a perfect justification to look out only for ourselves. But that is far from the truth. In reality we all depend on each other and we have to help each other. The husband has to help his wife, the wife has to help the husband, the mother has to help her children, and the children are supposed to help the parents too, whether they want to or not.-Gehlek Rinpoche Source: "The Best Buddhist Writing 2005 pg. 165

The hostile attitude of conquering nature ignores the basic interdependence of all things and events---that the world beyond the skin is actually an extension of our own bodies---and will end in destroying the very environment from which we emerge and upon which our whole life depends.